The Premier League midweek action heats up at St. James’ Park as Newcastle United host Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 14. Kick-off is scheduled for 8:15 PM GMT (3:15 PM ET), with both teams sitting level on 18 points in the bottom half of the table.
Newcastle is in 13th and Spurs in 12th. This clash pits Newcastle’s surging home form against Tottenham’s injury-plagued away resilience, but recent head-to-head dominance favours the Magpies.
Recent Form and Key Context
Newcastle United:
Eddie Howe’s side is on a roll, aiming for a third straight Premier League win after a convincing 4-1 thrashing of Everton at Goodison Park. Malick Thiaw’s brace highlighted their clinical edge, with the team outshooting the Toffees and controlling 51% possession.
At home, Newcastle have won four of their six league games this season, including three clean-sheet victories (two 2-0s). They’ve scored 17 goals overall (1.3 per game) but conceded 16, sitting ninth in goal differential (+1).
Tottenham Hotspur:
Thomas Frank’s Spurs are in crisis mode, losing back-to-back league games for the first time this season, including a frustrating 2-1 home defeat to Fulham, where they dominated possession (64%) but managed just two shots on target. Despite a strong away record (unbeaten outside London), they’ve overperformed their expected goals (xG of 11.3 for 21 actual goals), raising sustainability questions. Manager Frank faces mounting pressure amid fan criticism and player unrest.
Newcastle have won their last four meetings with Tottenham across all competitions, including a 2-1 EFL Cup win earlier this season, conceding just twice in those games. Spurs’ last win at St. James’ Park? 2015.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Injuries are hitting both sides hard, but Tottenham’s list is longer.
Newcastle United (4-3-3, probable):GK: Aaron Ramsdale
DEF: Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, Daniel Burn
MID: Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton
FWD: Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Key absences: Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Emil Krafth, William Osula, Yoane Wissa (all injured). Guimarães (13 yellows team-wide) will be crucial in breaking up Tottenham’s possession game.
Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1, probable):GK: Guglielmo Vicario
DEF: Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Djed Spence
MID: Rodrigo Bentancur, João Palhinha
ATT: Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert
FWD: Richarlison
Key absences: James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Dominic Solanke, Yves Bissouma, Radu Drăgușin, Kota Takai (injured). Van de Ven’s defensive solidity (44 duels won) could be key, but the midfield lacks creativity without Maddison.
Opta supercomputer gives Newcastle a 54.7% win probability.
Four of Newcastle’s last six home wins ended 2-0 or better; Tottenham have conceded 2+ in their last four trips here.
Betting note: Newcastle are slight favourites at -141 odds, with over 2.5 goals a popular pick given both teams’ scoring trends.
Players to Watch:
Newcastle: Bruno Guimarães – The midfield enforcer could disrupt Tottenham’s 53.65% average possession.
Tottenham: Mohammed Kudus – Scored in the Fulham loss; his creativity is vital with the attack depleted.
X-Factor: Richarlison – Two goals in his last Magpies clash (2023); could exploit set-pieces.
Prediction:
Newcastle’s home fortress and Tottenham’s injury woes tilt this heavily toward the hosts. Expect the Magpies to capitalise early and grind out a statement win.
Newcastle United 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur. (A draw isn’t impossible at +260, but form screams home victory.)For live updates, tune into USA Network (US), Sky Sports (UK), or Peacock.
