Spurs have four games left. Survival likely requires them to pick up enough points to reach around 36-40 total (a common threshold in tight battles), while hoping West Ham drop points.
They must at minimum match or outperform West Ham over the run-in.
Fixtures include tough away trips (e.g., to Aston Villa) and potentially winnable home games (e.g., vs. Leeds), but the squad has shown fragility, with injuries and inconsistent performances adding risk.
Opta supercomputer models give Spurs around a 58-60% chance of relegation. West Ham’s odds are notably lower (~37-38%), while Forest and Leeds are seen as very safe (<2%).
Betting markets have Tottenham as heavy favourites to go down, with odds around 4/5 to 8/13 (implying roughly 55-60% implied probability). West Ham is the main alternative at longer odds.
Fans using fairplay login get the best value in the football betting markets.
A couple of wins could pull them clear, but another slip (especially if West Ham continue picking up points) makes relegation very possible. Historically, this would be shocking—Tottenham’s last relegation was in 1977, and they’ve been ever-present in the top flight for decades.
Tottenham Hotspur are currently in 18th place in the 2025-26 Premier League table (the final relegation spot) after 34 games, with 34 points. They sit two points behind West Ham United in 17th (36 points), while Nottingham Forest (39 points) and Leeds United (40 points) are further clear in 16th and 15th. Burnley and Wolves are already effectively relegated.
Spurs have four games left. Survival likely requires them to pick up enough points to reach around 36-40 total – a common threshold in tight battles – while hoping West Ham drop points.
Key factors include: They must at minimum match or outperform West Ham over the run-in.
Fixtures include tough away trips (e.g., to Aston Villa) and potentially winnable home games (e.g., vs. Leeds), but the squad has shown fragility, with injuries and inconsistent performances adding risk.
A couple of wins could pull them clear, but another slip – especially if West Ham continue picking up points – makes relegation very possible. Historically, this would be shocking—Tottenham’s last relegation was in 1977, and they’ve been ever-present in the top flight for decades. It’s quite likely—around 55-60% based on the latest models and markets—that Tottenham get relegated. The situation is precarious due to their poor 2026 form and the points gap, though the win over Wolves has given a small lifeline and kept the fight alive. A couple of positive results could swing it, but the data points to Spurs as the most likely of the remaining teams to drop. The run-in will be tense.
All in all, it is the lack of consistency that is killing Spurs, and maybe this is all too little too late.
