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The North London Derby Analysis
By Harry Hotspur -

A half past four kick off will add to this North London Derby’s rich vibe, which comes on the back of several days of weeping, wailing and threats of varying degree.

Spurs go into tomorrow’s game @13/8 with Arsenal @8/5, the draw is @12/5, which makes our visitors very narrow favourites.

Assessing form can be a fraught business under Project Restart, as the games certainly feel a long way from business as usual. There’s a great piece in today’s The Athletic that I’d commend to you read, the key takeaway points are as follows.

  • Home advantage unaffected
  • Fewer first half goals
  • Fewer goals per game
  • Fewer second half goals
  • Fewer chances being created
  • Lower quality chances
  • Improved free-kick conversions

Spurs have won 55% of their last 20 home league games and Arsenal have lost 35% of their last 20 away league games, but what does that mean in plain English? As just the one point separates us in league at present, not very much.

Here’s an at-a-glance breakdown of our last 10 games against the Arsenal. It doesn’t make for particularly pretty reading.

Of the 11 league games Spurs won at home, they scored first 9 times. Of the 7 away games Arsenal lost, they conceded first 6 times. However, if one factors in the scarcity of first half goals, those stats count for less.

Bottom line is, that Tottenham need to buck their ideas up and play as fluidly as possible from the off; the longer Mourinho’s boys take to grow into the game, the greater the likelihood the game will deteriorate as we’ve had to bare witness to recently. It’s in indication of how bad things are at the moment, that Harry Kane is @4/1 for first goalscorer.

If Kane is capable of playing further up the field, then now is the time to move him accordingly. If he isn’t, then Spurs have got a problem tomorrow.

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James McKevitt
James McKevitt
1 year ago

We need a performance, some effort to show that they care for the club and the fans not just their paychecks. Some chatter that a plane towing a message has been hired to fly over the Stadium. Hope not all it will do is deflect attention and make us a laughing stock.

England Mike
England Mike
1 year ago

I am expecting the players to be self motivated for this game, based purely on who our opponents are, that is all I can say.

JimmyGrievance
JimmyGrievance
1 year ago
Reply to  England Mike

The fact they couldn’t motivate themselves to muster 1 shot on goal against B’mouth, I wouldn’t hold your breath

JimmyGrievance
JimmyGrievance
1 year ago

Hold on to your trousers tomorrow…. we’re getting our backsides handed to us on a plate

JimmyGrievance
JimmyGrievance
1 year ago

Hold on to your trousers tomorrow. We’re getting our arses handed to us

mikey hughes
mikey hughes
1 year ago

We’re stuffed. Why is it Arse and the Chavs can produce such high quality young talent when all our much vaunted academy has ever really managed is Kane? I’m not counting Winks as he’s so unreliable. He’s a split personality, at the moment he’s driving me bonkers, but even when on form is another Lo Celso – looks good but with no end product ever, flatters to deceive.

James McKevitt
James McKevitt
1 year ago

We need some creativity from the midfield relying on Davies and Aurier is a problem. We don’t need Harry Kane in midfield and we need something from Son and whoever else is wide. Most of all we need some heart, we need old fashioned hard work. Is that too much to ask?

Steve KillerCushion Williams
Steve KillerCushion Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  James McKevitt

Creativity from the back and midfield is a huge problem. If only davies and aurier could cross, its not that difficult with training… I understand completely why kane keeps dropping deep he doesnt get enough of the ball. When hes back in defence heading away danger, or in midfield linking up to get us moving forward, its simply because players are not doing their jobs. I dont blame him, I would do the same.

CowSpurs
CowSpurs
1 year ago

Kane would be a great number 10. Just as a plan B or second option. His range of passing is very good. We can play him deeper and put any of our other strikers up top. Doh!!!!

Steve KillerCushion Williams
Steve KillerCushion Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  CowSpurs

Aye he is a perfect number 10 really.. Someone like vardy or prime Owen or anyone quality with pace would be ideal to partner him… Someone like milik is no good he’s too similar.. Strikers 😆 they are generally the most expensive as well. Any quality finisher won’t come cheap.

CowSpurs
CowSpurs
1 year ago

We haven’t coped well with the press of any team really, more so since the restart. Arteta will have these pressing, but there will be space generated by their full backs bombing forward. Exploit that with our ‘free flowing football’ and it’ll be a doddle!

Steve KillerCushion Williams
Steve KillerCushion Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  CowSpurs

They are similar to us really, they have a strong front 3 with aubamayang, lacazzette and pepe, but midfield and defence they lack quality.. Derbies are tough to predict but i feel we can do them tomorrow. We need toby and verts in there. Sissoko moura bergwin needed. Kane of course… I would like to see Son on the bench and bring him on early for whoevers not pulling their weight. Son needs a kick up the backside to get him back on track, hes been away with the fairies since the restart. Obviously his marine holiday hasn’t done him any good.

CowSpurs
CowSpurs
1 year ago

I agree about Son. He’s come back from military training like he knows he’s leaving! Arteta is looking who can fit his system, but his players aren’t Man City. I like how he has a system though, we could do with one. Their front three have some form though, ours don’t. That’s a worry. As for lacking quality, our midfield and defence have hardly shone of late. I think I’ll watch most of the game through my hands covering my face! COYS

Steve KillerCushion Williams
Steve KillerCushion Williams
1 year ago
Reply to  CowSpurs

Aye that Aubamayang causes everyone problems. I tend to watch biting my nails mate. They are extremely short this year.

CowSpurs
CowSpurs
1 year ago

Aye, right to the elbow!

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