Tottenham Hotspur are currently in 16th place in the 2025-26 Premier League table, with 29 points from 28 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 13 losses, goal difference 5).
The relegation zone consists of the bottom three positions (18th to 20th):17th: Nottingham Forest – 28 points (GD -15)
18th: West Ham United – 28 points (GD -19) 19th: Burnley – 19 points 20th: Wolverhampton Wanderers – 16 points
This means Tottenham are just 1 point above the relegation zone (clear of 18th place on points, though goal difference could play a role in ties).
They have a slim 1-point cushion over the teams directly in the drop zone (Forest and West Ham both on 28 points), and a more comfortable buffer over the lower two sides. The season is approaching its final stages, with around 10 matches left for most teams (some have played 29 or 30).
Tottenham’s recent form has been poor—they haven’t won in the league in 2026 and have suffered several defeats, including a 2-1 loss to Fulham.
It’s important in these scenarios to remember to use the advice of football betting sites and despite the closeness to the drop (and media coverage framing it as a real threat for a “Big Six” club), statistical models like Opta’s give them only around a 4-5% chance of actual relegation, suggesting their quality, fixtures, or underlying metrics make survival more likely than not.
Bookmakers offer longer odds (e.g., around 7/2 to 4/1 for relegation in recent reports), implying roughly a 20% perceived probability, but that’s influenced by betting dynamics.
Tottenham face Crystal Palace today (March 5, 2026), a match that could provide breathing room or tighten the gap further depending on the result and other outcomes. In summary, they are uncomfortably close—only 1 point from the relegation places—but not yet in the bottom three, and the consensus is that relegation remains unlikely despite the precarious position.
Tottenham have played 28 matches and sit in 16th place with 29 points. With 10 league games left (plus two UEFA Champions League Round of 16 legs against Atlético Madrid on March 10 and 18, which could impact squad rotation and fatigue), their fixture list presents a balanced but challenging run-in. They’ve got a mix of winnable home games against lower-table sides, crucial “six-pointers” against direct relegation rivals, and tough away trips to top teams.
Easy (Winnable, 3 fixtures): These are against bottom-half teams where Tottenham should target maximum points. Key opportunities to pull away from the drop zone.
Home vs Nottingham Forest (17th): A direct rival just 1 point behind—win here to create a buffer.
Away vs Wolves (20th): Wolves are rock-bottom with only 3 wins all season; Tottenham’s attack should overwhelm them.
Home vs Leeds (15th): Leeds are 2 points ahead but leaky defensively (-11 GD); another six-pointer.
Medium (Competitive, 5 fixtures): Mid-table opponents with inconsistent form. Draws or narrow wins are possible, especially at home.
Home vs Crystal Palace (14th): Palace are solid but unspectacular; Tottenham’s home record could edge it.
Away vs Sunderland (11th): Sunderland punch above their weight but have a poor home GD; a draw feels likely.
Home vs Brighton (13th): Brighton’s possession style could frustrate, but Tottenham have historically done well here.
Home vs Everton (8th): Everton are steady but not dominant; a gritty home win is feasible.
Hard (Tough, 2 fixtures): Away to top-6 sides chasing titles/Europe. Points would be a bonus.
Away vs Liverpool (6th): Liverpool’s high press at Anfield is a nightmare matchup given Tottenham’s form.
Away vs Aston Villa (4th): Villa are flying high; expect a defensive battle with low scoring chances.
Away vs Chelsea (5th): Chelsea’s quality and depth make this the hardest—Tottenham’s away form (only 2 wins all season) hurts.
